I defer to the expertise of Charles Krauthammer on many matters of politics and state, and yet again he has hit the nail on the head with his assessment of Palin's surprising announcement last Friday that she would be resigning as governor of Alaska at the end of the month.
Two other trusted conservative commentators, Karl Rove and Mike Huckabee, had some additional thoughts on the Palin resignation this weekend on Fox News Sunday. It's worth your time to check this segment out.
If she has a calculation for the future, I would say that it has to be 2016 or beyond. It's not going to be in 2012. You have to remember, she is extremely young. In 2016, she will be only 52. In 2020, she will be a young presidential candidate.
I think if she has a strategy, and here I'm not sure, it would be to become a national figure, a conservative figure, work on the movement, educate herself, get boned up on national issues—which you are distracted from if you're in Alaska—and look at the long run.
So I think it can work out in the future, but in the short run, for 2012, I think this is utterly leaving her out of the picture.